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AHEAD
OF THE CURVE Mutually Assured Destruction Monday, September 8, 2003 Donald
Luskin Mutual-fund companies have betrayed investors.
Politicians could make things worse.
The following is an
"Ahead of the Curve" column published September 5, 2003 on
SmartMoney.com, where Luskin is a Contributing
Editor.
For all the outrage and indignation voiced by the media and our
public servants, the market didn't seem terribly concerned by this
week's scandalous revelation that a hedge-fund manager had illegally
profited at the expense of mutual-fund shareholders. That's powerful
testimony to the fact that the great bear-market really is over.
Just think about it: Can you imagine the pandemonium if this scandal
had broken a year ago?
That's the good news — and as readers
of this column know, I've been arguing since early spring that good
news of all kinds was going to keep moving the market higher. That's
just what has happened, and there's more to come. But don't let that
blind you to the potential bad news in this hedge-fund/mutual-fund
scandal.
With so many millions of Americans investing in
mutual funds, regulators and dozens of state attorneys general
aren't going to be able to resist the political bonanza of a
full-scale investigation of potential abuses in the fund industry.
They're going to find that the fund industry is, indeed, chock full
of abuses. Not big abuses, but lots and lots of tiny little abuses
that have accumulated gradually over the years, and all for what
seemed like perfectly good reasons at the time.
Let me give
you a couple of examples. But first, let's look at what this week's
scandal was all about. The key abuse was that a hedge fund was
allowed to buy and sell shares of several mutual funds after the
stock market had already closed and the value of the fund shares
were set — and other shareholders were no longer able to make such
transactions. That harmed ordinary fund shareholders in two ways.
First, say some very bullish market-moving event happened
after the close, and it was a cinch that the market would open
higher tomorrow. The hedge fund could buy fund shares at prices set
before the news came out, and sell higher the next day. Other
shareholders in the fund would have their gains reduced because the
hedge fund would have taken some of them.
Second, the hedge
fund was allowed to make these and other frequent transactions
without fully compensating the fund for all of the trading costs
involved. That's like getting all the fund's normal shareholders to
pick up the tab for the hedge fund's commissions.
It's all
about one shareholder getting special treatment at the expense of
all the other guys. Well, various benign and not-so-benign versions
of this happen all the time in just about every mutual fund.
Consider the matter of trading costs. There's no escaping
the fact that any fund shareholders who frequently trade fund shares
impose asymmetrical costs on shareholders who simply buy and hold,
even when the frequent trading isn't otherwise abusive. A handful of
funds charge transaction costs to approximately correct this. But
most just impose informal limits on the frequency of trading,
without levying any actual charges. The informality and inadequacy
of these limits, their poor disclosure to fund shareholders, and the
lack of rigor with which they're applied could be fertile ground for
claims of abuse.
Consider what happens when a shareholder
pays for shares by check. Typically he'll become effectively
invested the day his check arrives in the mail. But the fund doesn't
get any actual cash until the check clears. In the meantime, the
shareholder who paid by check has gotten what amounts to an
interest-free loan from the fund. And what happens if the check
never clears? Typically the share transaction is simply cancelled —
if the market has moved lower and there's a loss, the fund eats it.
Again, fertile ground for claims of abuse.
And how about
being able to trade fund shares after the close? Most people don't
realize that it's actually quite common. It is standard operating
procedure in much of the 401(k) and "mutual-fund marketplace"
businesses. In both cases, administrators require normal
shareholders to have their orders in by the market close. But of
necessity, the administrator can transmit those orders to the mutual
funds only after the close. In fact, in the case of 401(k) plans,
the administrator often requires that a fund's net asset value for
the day be provided by the fund before the order can be placed —
necessitating a delay of several hours.
Are there abuses of
trading after the close in 401(k) plans or mutual-fund marketplaces?
Probably not much, if any — but it's an under-regulated part of the
system and overzealous investigators will realize the potential is
there and maybe find something.
And here's another one. It's
a well-kept secret of the mutual-fund industry that daily fund net
asset values don't accurately reflect the true value of the fund's
holdings. Because of the necessity to provide the NAV within hours
of the market close, most funds calculate NAVs using today's prices
applied against yesterday's portfolio holdings. This creates another
opportunity for effectively trading after the close for investors
who have inside information about fund holdings, as apparently was
the case with the hedge fund involved in this week's scandal.
If an investigation ends up characterizing these
longstanding and widespread micro-abuses as crimes, the price to the
industry could be a lot higher than just a stiff fine paid to
Eliot Spitzer, or even the endless plaintiff litigation that
would no doubt follow. For one thing, there would be massive
reputation damage to the fund industry that would set it back
decades. And that would spill over into a distrust of the market
overall.
But here's the worst-case nuclear-winter scenario
that I'm sure fund-industry executives are talking about secretly
right now — and hoping that no one will mention in public. Well,
here goes.
The whole mutual-fund industry is based on a tax
exemption — and that exemption could be put at risk in a widespread
investigation. You don't think much about it, because if you hold a
mutual fund outside an IRA or 401(k), you're paying taxes every year
on its dividends and capital gains (unless it invests entirely in
municipal bonds, of course). But the fund itself is tax exempt.
Unlike other corporations — and a corporation is what a mutual fund
actually is — a mutual fund itself does not pay taxes.
To
earn the exemption, a fund must comply with applicable provisions of
the Internal Revenue Code. The critical provision here is
that all fund shareholders must be treated completely equally. The
whole point of this week's scandal is that certain funds have
apparently not been doing that. If the Internal Revenue
Service so chose, it could yank the funds' exemptions — and it
could do the same for any fund found to be treating its shareholders
unequally in any future investigation.
A mutual fund that
loses its tax exemption is, effectively, sentenced to death.
Investors would desert funds in droves, and choose instead to hold
individual stocks. Why be taxed twice when you can just be taxed
once?
But it gets worse. What if the IRS were to rule that a
fund had been treating investors unequally for a long period — and
seek back taxes and penalties? Technically the fund itself would be
liable, and it might be a liability that could more than wipe out
all the fund's assets. Think about the case of a fallen-angel
technology fund that racked up big profits in the late 1990s, but
now is only a fraction of its former size? The taxes and penalties
could be larger than all the assets currently in the fund.
As a practical matter, the fund itself would probably not
end up paying the back taxes and penalties. Any mutual-fund company
that wanted to stay in the business would no doubt decide to step up
to the plate and pay. But the bill could run to billions, and could
deal a blow to some fund companies from which it would take years to
recover.
How likely is that worst-case scenario? Not very.
But I bring it up to make sure you know even the remote risks that
are lurking out there.
And I have another reason, too. In a
world that sometimes seems full of corporate crooks, our first
impulse is to shout "hang 'em high" and applaud the regulators and
the states attorneys general as they all rush in to prosecute at the
same time. But a little of that goes a long way. What starts out as
enforcement can easily turn into a lynch mob.
So now, as the
prosecutorial posse goes after the mutual-fund outlaws, be careful
before you cheer them on. Watch carefully to see if the abuses they
uncover are substantive — and whether it costs more to fix them than
it did to live with them. And let's all take care that we don't pay
the highest price of all: blundering in with guns blazing, and
inadvertently destroying the industry that has done a better job
than any other to bring ordinary people into the investor class.
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